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Toss-up · 2016 Governor
New Hampshire Governor
In the 2016 New Hampshire Governor race, Chris Sununu (R) won by about 2 points.
Actual result
R+2.3
Final polls said
D+2.3
14 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Praecones Analytica | R+3.4 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Suffolk University | R+4.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | American Research Group | R+4.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion | R+4.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 5 | GQR | EVEN | 2.3 | ✗ |
| 6 | MassINC Polling Group | R+5.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 7 | Marist College | D+1.0 | 3.3 | ✗ |
| 8 | YouGov | D+1.0 | 3.3 | ✗ |
| 9 | Public Policy Polling | D+3.0 | 5.3 | ✗ |
| 10 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | D+5.0 | 7.3 | ✗ |
| 11 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | D+11.0 | 13.3 | ✗ |
| 12 | SurveyMonkey | D+13.0 | 15.3 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
23 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2016-11-0513
SurveyMonkey2016-11-0415
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2016-11-0110
Suffolk University2016-11-012
American Research Group2016-11-012
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 New Hampshire Governor race?
Chris Sununu (R) won, by about 2.3 points (R+2.3).
When was the 2016 New Hampshire Governor election held?
It was held in November 2016.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.