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Toss-up · 2016 House
California House
In the 2016 California House race, Salud Carbajal (D) won by about 7 points.
Actual result
D+6.8
Final polls said
R+3.0
1 late poll · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tarrance Group | R+3.0 | 9.8 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Tarrance Group2016-09-1810
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 California House race?
Salud Carbajal (D) won, by about 6.8 points (D+6.8).
When was the 2016 California House election held?
It was held in November 2016.