← all past elections
Toss-up · 2016 House
California House
In the 2016 California House race, Lou Correa (D) won with 70% of the vote. The Democratic-Republican margin was D+40.0.
Actual result
D+40.0
Final polls said
D+24.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FM3 Research | D+24.0 | 16.0 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
FM3 Research2016-09-2216
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 California House race?
Lou Correa (D) won, with 70% of the vote. The two-party Democratic-Republican margin was D+40.0, which is what VotePredictor's model forecasts.
When was the 2016 California House election held?
It was held in November 2016.