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Toss-up · 2016 House
California House
In the 2016 California House race, Darrell Issa (R) won by less than a point.
Actual result
R+0.5
Final polls said
R+2.3
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department | R+2.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Tulchin Research | D+4.0 | 4.5 | ✗ |
| 3 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+9.0 | 8.5 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Opinion Strategies2016-10-058
Tulchin Research2016-09-295
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department2016-09-241
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 California House race?
Darrell Issa (R) won, by about 0.5 points (R+0.5).
When was the 2016 California House election held?
It was held in November 2016.