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Toss-up · 2016 House
Florida House
In the 2016 Florida House race, Charlie Crist (D) won by about 4 points.
Actual result
D+3.8
Final polls said
D+3.7
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Pete Polls | D+5.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Data Targeting | D+2.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Impact Research | D+11.0 | 7.2 | ✓ |
| 4 | University of North Florida Public Opinion Research Lab | D+18.0 | 14.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
9 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
St. Pete Polls2016-11-061
St. Pete Polls2016-11-011
St. Pete Polls2016-10-231
Data Targeting2016-10-112
University of North Florida Public Opinion Research Lab2016-10-1014
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Florida House race?
Charlie Crist (D) won, by about 3.8 points (D+3.8).
When was the 2016 Florida House election held?
It was held in November 2016.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.