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Toss-up · 2016 House
Florida House
In the 2016 Florida House race, Stephanie Murphy (D) won by about 3 points.
Actual result
D+3.0
Final polls said
R+5.0
1 late poll · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Global Strategy Group/Lester & Associates | D+3.0 | 0.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department | D+2.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | Cherry Communications | R+5.0 | 8.0 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Cherry Communications2016-10-228
Global Strategy Group/Lester & Associates2016-10-140
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department2016-10-101
Global Strategy Group/Lester & Associates2016-09-146
Cherry Communications2016-09-1421
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Florida House race?
Stephanie Murphy (D) won, by about 3.0 points (D+3.0).
When was the 2016 Florida House election held?
It was held in November 2016.