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Toss-up · 2016 House
Iowa House
In the 2016 Iowa House race, Rod Blum (R) won by about 8 points.
Actual result
R+7.7
Final polls said
R+5.3
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loras College Public Opinion Survey Center | R+6.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | The Polling Company Inc. | R+11.0 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | Lake Research Partners | R+2.0 | 5.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | Normington, Petts & Associates | R+1.0 | 6.7 | ✓ |
| 5 | GBAO | D+1.0 | 8.7 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Loras College Public Opinion Survey Center2016-11-022
The Polling Company Inc.2016-10-303
GBAO2016-10-169
Normington, Petts & Associates2016-10-107
The Polling Company Inc.2016-09-308
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Iowa House race?
Rod Blum (R) won, by about 7.7 points (R+7.7).
When was the 2016 Iowa House election held?
It was held in November 2016.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.