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Toss-up · 2016 House
Iowa House
In the 2016 Iowa House race, Rod Blum (R) won by about 7 points.
Actual result
R+7.5
Final polls said
R+5.3
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loras College Public Opinion Survey Center | R+6.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | The Polling Company Inc. | R+11.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Lake Research Partners | R+2.0 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | Normington, Petts & Associates | R+1.0 | 6.5 | ✓ |
| 5 | GBAO | D+1.0 | 8.5 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Loras College Public Opinion Survey Center2016-11-022
The Polling Company Inc.2016-10-303
GBAO2016-10-169
Normington, Petts & Associates2016-10-107
The Polling Company Inc.2016-09-308
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Iowa House race?
Rod Blum (R) won, by about 7.5 points (R+7.5).
When was the 2016 Iowa House election held?
It was held in November 2016.