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Toss-up · 2016 House

Illinois House

In the 2016 Illinois House race, Brad Schneider (D) won by about 5 points.

Actual result
D+5.2
Final polls said
D+2.7
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem

"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#PollsterFinal callMissCalled
1Normington, Petts & AssociatesD+5.00.2✓
2Clarity Campaign LabsD+10.04.8✓
3North Star Opinion ResearchR+7.012.2✗

The polls behind it

3 polls · newest first
PollsterDateMiss
Clarity Campaign Labs2016-10-125
North Star Opinion Research2016-10-1012
Normington, Petts & Associates2016-09-280

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 2016 Illinois House race?

Brad Schneider (D) won, by about 5.2 points (D+5.2).

When was the 2016 Illinois House election held?

It was held in November 2016.

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Other races to watch

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