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Toss-up · 2016 House
Maine House
In the 2016 Maine House race, Bruce Poliquin (R) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
R+9.6
Final polls said
D+2.0
1 late poll · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Normington, Petts & Associates | D+1.0 | 10.6 | ✗ |
| 2 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | D+2.0 | 11.6 | ✗ |
| 3 | Clarity Campaign Labs | D+4.0 | 13.6 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2016-10-2212
Clarity Campaign Labs2016-10-1014
Normington, Petts & Associates2016-10-0211
Normington, Petts & Associates2016-09-2110
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2016-09-170
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Maine House race?
Bruce Poliquin (R) won, by about 9.6 points (R+9.6).
When was the 2016 Maine House election held?
It was held in November 2016.