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Toss-up · 2016 House
Maine House
In the 2016 Maine House race, Bruce Poliquin (R) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
R+9.6
Final polls said
D+2.0
1 late poll · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Normington, Petts & Associates | D+1.0 | 10.6 | ✗ |
| 2 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | D+2.0 | 11.6 | ✗ |
| 3 | Clarity Campaign Labs | D+4.0 | 13.6 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2016-10-2212
Clarity Campaign Labs2016-10-1014
Normington, Petts & Associates2016-10-0211
Normington, Petts & Associates2016-09-2110
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2016-09-170
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Maine House race?
Bruce Poliquin (R) won, by about 9.6 points (R+9.6).
When was the 2016 Maine House election held?
It was held in November 2016.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.