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Toss-up · 2016 House
Minnesota House
In the 2016 Minnesota House race, Jason Lewis (R) won by about 2 points.
Actual result
R+1.8
Final polls said
D+5.0
2 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WPA Intelligence | R+3.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | GBAO | D+5.0 | 6.8 | ✗ |
| 3 | SurveyUSA | D+5.0 | 6.8 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
GBAO2016-10-287
SurveyUSA2016-10-157
WPA Intelligence2016-10-091
GBAO2016-10-056
GBAO2016-09-214
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Minnesota House race?
Jason Lewis (R) won, by about 1.8 points (R+1.8).
When was the 2016 Minnesota House election held?
It was held in November 2016.