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Toss-up · 2016 House
Minnesota House
In the 2016 Minnesota House race, Erik Paulsen (R) won by about 14 points.
Actual result
R+13.7
Final polls said
R+4.0
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | R+11.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | Clarity Campaign Labs | R+3.0 | 10.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department | D+2.0 | 15.7 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Clarity Campaign Labs2016-10-1211
SurveyUSA2016-10-123
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department2016-09-1216
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Minnesota House race?
Erik Paulsen (R) won, by about 13.7 points (R+13.7).
When was the 2016 Minnesota House election held?
It was held in November 2016.