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Toss-up · 2016 House
Montana House
In the 2016 Montana House race, Ryan K. Zinke (R) won by about 16 points.
Actual result
R+15.6
Final polls said
R+14.3
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+13.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Montana State University Billings | R+19.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | Moore Information Group | R+11.0 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | Harstad Strategic Research | R+3.0 | 12.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2016-10-113
Montana State University Billings2016-10-073
Moore Information Group2016-10-025
Harstad Strategic Research2016-09-2413
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Montana House race?
Ryan K. Zinke (R) won, by about 15.6 points (R+15.6).
When was the 2016 Montana House election held?
It was held in November 2016.