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Toss-up · 2016 House
Montana House
In the 2016 Montana House race, Ryan K. Zinke (R) won by about 16 points.
Actual result
R+15.6
Final polls said
R+14.3
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+13.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Montana State University Billings | R+19.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | Moore Information Group | R+11.0 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | Harstad Strategic Research | R+3.0 | 12.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2016-10-113
Montana State University Billings2016-10-073
Moore Information Group2016-10-025
Harstad Strategic Research2016-09-2413
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Montana House race?
Ryan K. Zinke (R) won, by about 15.6 points (R+15.6).
When was the 2016 Montana House election held?
It was held in November 2016.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.