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Toss-up · 2016 House
Nebraska House
In the 2016 Nebraska House race, Don Bacon (R) won by about 1 point.
Actual result
R+1.2
Final polls said
R+3.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Singularis Group | R+2.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | North Star Opinion Research | R+4.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Global Strategy Group | D+10.0 | 11.2 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Singularis Group2016-10-261
North Star Opinion Research2016-10-233
Global Strategy Group2016-09-1611
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Nebraska House race?
Don Bacon (R) won, by about 1.2 points (R+1.2).
When was the 2016 Nebraska House election held?
It was held in November 2016.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.