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Toss-up · 2016 House
New Hampshire House
In the 2016 New Hampshire House race, Carol Shea-Porter (D) won by about 1 point.
Actual result
D+1.3
Final polls said
D+6.0
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | YouGov | D+4.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | North Star Opinion Research | R+3.0 | 4.3 | ✗ |
| 3 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | D+9.0 | 7.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | Normington, Petts & Associates | D+10.0 | 8.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2016-11-058
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2016-11-016
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2016-10-283
YouGov2016-10-193
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2016-10-1411
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 New Hampshire House race?
Carol Shea-Porter (D) won, by about 1.3 points (D+1.3).
When was the 2016 New Hampshire House election held?
It was held in November 2016.