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Toss-up · 2016 House
New Jersey House
In the 2016 New Jersey House race, Leonard Lance (R) won by about 11 points.
Actual result
R+11.0
Final polls said
EVEN
1 late poll · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Policy Polling | EVEN | 11.0 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2016-10-2111
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 New Jersey House race?
Leonard Lance (R) won, by about 11.0 points (R+11.0).
When was the 2016 New Jersey House election held?
It was held in November 2016.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.