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Toss-up · 2016 House
Nevada House
In the 2016 Nevada House race, Jacky Rosen (D) won by about 1 point.
Actual result
D+1.3
Final polls said
D+7.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department | D+3.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | Global Strategy Group | D+7.0 | 5.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | Tarrance Group | R+5.0 | 6.3 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Global Strategy Group2016-10-156
Tarrance Group2016-10-126
Tarrance Group2016-09-286
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department2016-09-272
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Nevada House race?
Jacky Rosen (D) won, by about 1.3 points (D+1.3).
When was the 2016 Nevada House election held?
It was held in November 2016.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.