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Toss-up · 2016 House
Virginia House
In the 2016 Virginia House race, Thomas A. Garrett (R) won by about 17 points.
Actual result
R+16.7
Final polls said
R+11.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Meeting Street Insights | R+11.0 | 5.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | Impact Research | R+6.0 | 10.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Meeting Street Insights2016-10-156
Impact Research2016-10-1111
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Virginia House race?
Thomas A. Garrett (R) won, by about 16.7 points (R+16.7).
When was the 2016 Virginia House election held?
It was held in November 2016.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.