Actual result
R+16.7
Final polls said
R+11.0
1 late poll · ✓
Model predicted
R+13.6
✓
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VotePredictor | R+13.6 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Meeting Street Insights | R+11.0 | 5.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | Impact Research | R+6.0 | 10.7 | ✓ |
Polls (2)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meeting Street Insights | 2016-10-15 | 400 | R+11.0 | 6 |
| Impact Research | 2016-10-11 | 400 | R+6.0 | 11 |