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Toss-up · 2016 President
M1 President
In the 2016 M1 President race, Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) won by about 15 points.
Actual result
D+14.8
Final polls said
D+12.6
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maine People's Resource Center | D+11.5 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | D+20.0 | 5.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | Emerson College | D+6.3 | 8.5 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Emerson College2016-10-299
Maine People's Resource Center2016-10-253
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2016-10-225
Maine People's Resource Center2016-10-145
Maine People's Resource Center2016-10-082
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 M1 President race?
Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) won, by about 14.8 points (D+14.8).
When was the 2016 M1 President election held?
It was held in November 2016.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.