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Toss-up · 2016 President
M2 President
In the 2016 M2 President race, Donald Trump (R) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
R+10.3
Final polls said
D+0.3
3 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maine People's Resource Center | R+3.4 | 6.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Clarity Campaign Labs | EVEN | 10.3 | ✗ |
| 3 | Emerson College | D+1.4 | 11.7 | ✗ |
| 4 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | D+3.0 | 13.3 | ✗ |
| 5 | Normington, Petts & Associates | D+4.0 | 14.3 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
10 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Emerson College2016-10-2912
Maine People's Resource Center2016-10-257
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2016-10-2213
Maine People's Resource Center2016-10-1411
Clarity Campaign Labs2016-10-1010
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 M2 President race?
Donald Trump (R) won, by about 10.3 points (R+10.3).
When was the 2016 M2 President election held?
It was held in November 2016.