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Toss-up · 2016 President
Maine President
In the 2016 Maine President race, Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) won by about 3 points.
Actual result
D+3.0
Final polls said
D+7.4
7 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emerson College | D+4.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | YouGov | D+4.7 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | Maine People's Resource Center | D+5.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | Ipsos | D+7.3 | 4.3 | ✓ |
| 5 | SurveyMonkey | D+8.0 | 5.0 | ✓ |
| 6 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | D+11.0 | 8.0 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Princeton Election Consortium | Dem 98% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 94% | 0.004 | ✓ |
| 3 | New York Times | Dem 91% | 0.008 | ✓ |
| 4 | Cook Political | Dem 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 5 | Inside Elections | Dem 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 6 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Dem 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 7 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 84% | 0.026 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
13 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyMonkey2016-11-045
Ipsos2016-10-304
Emerson College2016-10-291
SurveyMonkey2016-10-289
Maine People's Resource Center2016-10-252
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Maine President race?
Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) won, by about 3.0 points (D+3.0).
When was the 2016 Maine President election held?
It was held in November 2016.