Toss-up · 2016 President

US President

In the 2016 US President race, Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) won by about 2 points.

Actual result

D+2.2

Final polls said

D+4.2

79 late polls · ✓

VotePredictor Elections predicted

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Winner

Dem

"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

#	Pollster	Final call	Miss	Called
1	Rasmussen Reports	D+2.0	0.2	✓
2	CVOTER	D+2.8	0.6	✓
3	Selzer & Co.	D+3.0	0.8	✓
4	Ipsos	D+3.0	0.8	✓
5	Morning Consult	D+3.0	0.8	✓
6	CBS News/The New York Times	D+3.0	0.8	✓
7	RKM Research and Communications Inc.	D+3.2	1.0	✓
8	Marist College	D+1.0	1.2	✓
9	Leger	D+4.0	1.8	✓
10	YouGov	D+4.0	1.8	✓
11	ABC News/The Washington Post	D+4.0	1.8	✓
12	Gravis Marketing	D+4.0	1.8	✓
13	Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research	D+4.0	1.8	✓
14	Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies	D+4.0	1.8	✓
15	CBS News	D+4.0	1.8	✓
16	Angus Reid Global	D+4.0	1.8	✓
17	The Winston Group	D+4.0	1.8	✓
18	Centre College	D+4.9	2.7	✓
19	Lucid	D+5.0	2.8	✓
20	Big Village	D+5.0	2.8	✓
21	Echelon Insights	D+5.0	2.8	✓
22	icitizen	D+5.0	2.8	✓
23	TIPP Insights	R+1.5	3.7	✗
24	Monmouth University Polling Institute	D+6.0	3.8	✓
25	SurveyMonkey	D+6.0	3.8	✓
26	Pew Research Center	D+6.0	3.8	✓
27	Public Policy Polling	D+6.0	3.8	✓
28	Emerson College	R+2.0	4.2	✗
29	American Research Group	D+7.0	4.8	✓
30	Quinnipiac University	D+7.0	4.8	✓
31	University of Southern California Dornsife Center for Economic and Social Research	R+3.2	5.4	✗
32	Lake Research Partners/The Tarrance Group	D+8.0	5.8	✓
33	Fairleigh Dickinson University	D+9.0	6.8	✓
34	RAND (American Life Panel)	D+9.1	6.9	✓
35	Suffolk University	D+9.8	7.6	✓
36	SurveyUSA	D+10.0	7.8	✓
37	KFF	D+11.0	8.8	✓
38	Saint Leo University Polling Institute	D+11.3	9.1	✓
39	GQR	D+12.0	9.8	✓
40	Edison Research	D+12.2	10.0	✓
41	GfK Group	D+14.0	11.8	✓
42	Public Religion Research Institute	D+15.0	12.8	✓