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Toss-up · 2016 Senate
Georgia Senate
In the 2016 Georgia Senate race, Johnny Isakson (R) won by about 14 points.
Actual result
R+13.8
Final polls said
R+9.9
13 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Landmark Communications | R+13.6 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Quinnipiac University | R+14.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | JMC Analytics | R+13.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | Abt Associates | R+15.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 5 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | R+16.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 6 | Landmark Communications/Rosetta Stone Communications | R+11.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 7 | Marist College | R+11.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 8 | InsiderAdvantage | R+10.8 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 9 | Lucid | R+10.0 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 10 | Emerson College | R+8.0 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 11 | 20/20 Insight | R+7.0 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 12 | YouGov | R+7.0 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 13 | SurveyMonkey | R+6.0 | 7.8 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inside Elections | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 97% | 0.001 | ✓ |
| 5 | Cook Political | Rep 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
20 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Landmark Communications/Rosetta Stone Communications2016-11-063
20/20 Insight2016-11-047
SurveyMonkey2016-11-048
YouGov2016-11-047
Landmark Communications/Rosetta Stone Communications2016-11-034
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Georgia Senate race?
Johnny Isakson (R) won, by about 13.8 points (R+13.8).
When was the 2016 Georgia Senate election held?
It was held in November 2016.