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Toss-up · 2018 Governor
Connecticut Governor
In the 2018 Connecticut Governor race, Edward Lamont (D) won by about 3 points.
Actual result
D+3.1
Final polls said
D+4.0
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quinnipiac University | D+4.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Policy Polling | D+5.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Emerson College | D+6.2 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | GreatBlue Research | R+2.4 | 5.5 | ✗ |
| 5 | Gravis Marketing | D+9.0 | 5.8 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 85% | 0.022 | ✓ |
| 2 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 79% | 0.044 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
8 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Gravis Marketing2018-10-315
GreatBlue Research2018-10-306
Emerson College2018-10-283
Quinnipiac University2018-10-250
GreatBlue Research2018-10-150
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2018 Connecticut Governor race?
Edward Lamont (D) won, by about 3.1 points (D+3.1).
When was the 2018 Connecticut Governor election held?
It was held in November 2018.