Toss-up · 2018 Governor

Georgia Governor

In the 2018 Georgia Governor race, Brian Kemp (R) won by about 1 point.

Actual result

R+1.4

Final polls said

R+1.7

8 late polls · ✓

VotePredictor Elections predicted

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Winner

Rep

"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#	Pollster	Final call	Miss	Called
1	Landmark Communications	R+1.7	0.3	✓
2	Marist College	R+1.0	0.4	✓
3	Ipsos	R+1.0	0.4	✓
4	SurveyUSA	R+2.0	0.6	✓
5	Emerson College	R+2.1	0.7	✓
6	Cygnal	R+2.2	0.8	✓
7	Public Policy Polling	EVEN	1.4	✗
8	SurveyMonkey	EVEN	1.4	✗
9	University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs	D+0.2	1.6	✗
10	InsiderAdvantage	D+0.9	2.3	✗
11	20/20 Insight	D+4.0	5.4	✗
12	Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group	D+6.0	7.4	✗
13	Trafalgar Group	R+12.3	10.9	✓