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Toss-up · 2018 Governor
Hawaii Governor
In the 2018 Hawaii Governor race, David Y. Ige (D) won by about 29 points.
Actual result
D+29.0
Final polls said
D+21.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MRG Research | D+21.0 | 8.0 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
MRG Research2018-10-108
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2018 Hawaii Governor race?
David Y. Ige (D) won, by about 29.0 points (D+29.0).
When was the 2018 Hawaii Governor election held?
It was held in November 2018.