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Toss-up · 2018 Governor
Hawaii Governor
In the 2018 Hawaii Governor race, David Y. Ige (D) won by about 29 points.
Actual result
D+29.0
Final polls said
D+21.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MRG Research | D+21.0 | 8.0 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
MRG Research2018-10-108
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2018 Hawaii Governor race?
David Y. Ige (D) won, by about 29.0 points (D+29.0).
When was the 2018 Hawaii Governor election held?
It was held in November 2018.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.