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Toss-up · 2018 Governor
Massachusetts Governor
In the 2018 Massachusetts Governor race, Charles D. Baker (R) won by about 33 points.
Actual result
R+33.5
Final polls said
R+40.1
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Western New England University Polling Institute | R+38.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion | R+39.0 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Suffolk University | R+39.4 | 5.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | MassINC Polling Group | R+43.0 | 9.5 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
MassINC Polling Group2018-10-2710
Suffolk University2018-10-266
Western New England University Polling Institute2018-10-185
University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion2018-10-046
MassINC Polling Group2018-09-1911
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2018 Massachusetts Governor race?
Charles D. Baker (R) won, by about 33.5 points (R+33.5).
When was the 2018 Massachusetts Governor election held?
It was held in November 2018.