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Toss-up · 2018 Governor
Maine Governor
In the 2018 Maine Governor race, Janet T. Mills (D) won by about 8 points.
Actual result
D+7.7
Final polls said
D+12.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emerson College | D+8.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Change Research | D+8.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | Pan Atlantic Research | D+8.5 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | Slingshot Strategies | D+17.0 | 9.3 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 95% | 0.003 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Slingshot Strategies2018-11-019
Emerson College2018-10-280
Pan Atlantic Research2018-10-041
Change Research2018-09-300
Slingshot Strategies2018-09-280
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2018 Maine Governor race?
Janet T. Mills (D) won, by about 7.7 points (D+7.7).
When was the 2018 Maine Governor election held?
It was held in November 2018.