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Toss-up · 2018 Governor
New Hampshire Governor
In the 2018 New Hampshire Governor race, Chris Sununu (R) won by about 7 points.
Actual result
R+7.0
Final polls said
R+2.8
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emerson College | R+7.3 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | American Research Group | R+5.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | Saint Anselm College Survey Center | R+10.0 | 3.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | Change Research | R+1.0 | 6.0 | ✓ |
| 5 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | EVEN | 7.0 | ✗ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 91% | 0.008 | ✓ |
| 2 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 86% | 0.020 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2018-11-037
Emerson College2018-10-280
Change Research2018-10-286
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2018-10-144
Saint Anselm College Survey Center2018-10-123
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2018 New Hampshire Governor race?
Chris Sununu (R) won, by about 7.0 points (R+7.0).
When was the 2018 New Hampshire Governor election held?
It was held in November 2018.