← all past elections
Toss-up · 2018 Governor
Oklahoma Governor
In the 2018 Oklahoma Governor race, Kevin Stitt (R) won by about 12 points.
Actual result
R+12.1
Final polls said
R+4.9
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magellan Strategies | R+7.0 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates | R+6.0 | 6.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | The Right Strategy Group | R+3.5 | 8.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | SoonerPoll.com | R+2.9 | 9.2 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 91% | 0.008 | ✓ |
| 2 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 86% | 0.020 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SoonerPoll.com2018-11-029
SoonerPoll.com2018-10-247
Magellan Strategies2018-10-225
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates2018-09-276
The Right Strategy Group2018-09-259
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2018 Oklahoma Governor race?
Kevin Stitt (R) won, by about 12.1 points (R+12.1).
When was the 2018 Oklahoma Governor election held?
It was held in November 2018.