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Toss-up · 2018 Governor
Oklahoma Governor
In the 2018 Oklahoma Governor race, Kevin Stitt (R) won by about 12 points.
Actual result
R+12.1
Final polls said
R+4.9
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magellan Strategies | R+7.0 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates | R+6.0 | 6.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | The Right Strategy Group | R+3.5 | 8.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | SoonerPoll.com | R+2.9 | 9.2 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 91% | 0.008 | ✓ |
| 2 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 86% | 0.020 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SoonerPoll.com2018-11-029
SoonerPoll.com2018-10-247
Magellan Strategies2018-10-225
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates2018-09-276
The Right Strategy Group2018-09-259
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2018 Oklahoma Governor race?
Kevin Stitt (R) won, by about 12.1 points (R+12.1).
When was the 2018 Oklahoma Governor election held?
It was held in November 2018.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.