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Toss-up · 2018 Governor
Rhode Island Governor
In the 2018 Rhode Island Governor race, Gina M. Raimondo (D) won by about 15 points.
Actual result
D+15.5
Final polls said
D+10.8
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | D+14.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Fleming & Associates | D+10.8 | 4.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | SocialSphere | D+8.0 | 7.5 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 98% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Fleming & Associates2018-10-225
SocialSphere2018-10-077
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2018-10-011
Fleming & Associates2018-09-168
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2018 Rhode Island Governor race?
Gina M. Raimondo (D) won, by about 15.5 points (D+15.5).
When was the 2018 Rhode Island Governor election held?
It was held in November 2018.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.