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Toss-up · 2018 Governor
Rhode Island Governor
In the 2018 Rhode Island Governor race, Gina M. Raimondo (D) won by about 15 points.
Actual result
D+15.5
Final polls said
D+10.8
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | D+14.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Fleming & Associates | D+10.8 | 4.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | SocialSphere | D+8.0 | 7.5 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 98% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 97% | 0.001 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Fleming & Associates2018-10-225
SocialSphere2018-10-077
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2018-10-011
Fleming & Associates2018-09-168
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2018 Rhode Island Governor race?
Gina M. Raimondo (D) won, by about 15.5 points (D+15.5).
When was the 2018 Rhode Island Governor election held?
It was held in November 2018.