← all past elections
Toss-up · 2018 House
Ohio House
In the 2018 Ohio House race, Brad Wenstrup (R) won by about 16 points.
Actual result
R+16.4
Final polls said
R+13.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Change Research | R+13.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cook Political | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | The Economist | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 98% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 6 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 97% | 0.001 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Change Research2018-10-283
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2018 Ohio House race?
Brad Wenstrup (R) won, by about 16.4 points (R+16.4).
When was the 2018 Ohio House election held?
It was held in November 2018.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.