← all past elections
Toss-up · 2018 House
Pennsylvania House
In the 2018 Pennsylvania House race, John Joyce (R) won by about 41 points.
Actual result
R+41.0
Final polls said
R+21.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. | R+21.0 | 20.0 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cook Political | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | The Economist | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 91% | 0.008 | ✓ |
| 6 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 50% | 0.247 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.2018-10-2520
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2018 Pennsylvania House race?
John Joyce (R) won, by about 41.0 points (R+41.0).
When was the 2018 Pennsylvania House election held?
It was held in November 2018.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.