← all past elections
Toss-up · 2018 House
Texas House
In the 2018 Texas House race, Chip Roy (R) won by about 3 points.
Actual result
R+2.6
Final polls said
R+12.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WPA Intelligence | R+12.0 | 9.4 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 91% | 0.008 | ✓ |
| 2 | Cook Political | Rep 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 3 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 4 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 84% | 0.027 | ✓ |
| 5 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 82% | 0.032 | ✓ |
| 6 | The Economist | Rep 77% | 0.053 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
WPA Intelligence2018-10-199
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2018 Texas House race?
Chip Roy (R) won, by about 2.6 points (R+2.6).
When was the 2018 Texas House election held?
It was held in November 2018.