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Toss-up · 2019 Governor
Kentucky Governor
In the 2019 Kentucky Governor race, Andy Beshear (D) won by less than a point.
Actual result
D+0.4
Final polls said
D+6.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | EVEN | 0.4 | ✗ |
| 2 | Trafalgar Group | R+5.9 | 6.3 | ✗ |
| 3 | Targoz Market Research | D+19.0 | 18.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Trafalgar Group2019-10-316
Targoz Market Research2019-10-1719
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2019-10-120
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2019 Kentucky Governor race?
Andy Beshear (D) won, by about 0.4 points (D+0.4).
When was the 2019 Kentucky Governor election held?
It was held in November 2019.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.