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Toss-up · 2019 House
North Carolina House
In the 2019 North Carolina House race, Dan Bishop (R) won by about 2 points.
Actual result
R+2.0
Final polls said
D+1.3
3 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RRH Elections | R+1.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | co/efficient | EVEN | 2.0 | ✗ |
| 3 | Impact Research | EVEN | 2.0 | ✗ |
| 4 | Harper Polling/Clarity Campaign Labs | D+5.0 | 7.0 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
co/efficient2019-09-052
Harper Polling/Clarity Campaign Labs2019-08-277
RRH Elections2019-08-271
Impact Research2019-07-172
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2019 North Carolina House race?
Dan Bishop (R) won, by about 2.0 points (R+2.0).
When was the 2019 North Carolina House election held?
It was held in November 2019.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.