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Toss-up · 2020 Governor
Montana Governor
In the 2020 Montana Governor race, Greg Gianforte (R) won by about 13 points.
Actual result
R+12.9
Final polls said
R+3.6
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emerson College | R+12.3 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Strategies 360 | R+7.0 | 5.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Montana State University Bozeman Human Ecology Learning and Problem Solving Lab | R+5.0 | 7.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Change Research | R+4.0 | 8.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | The New York Times/Siena College | R+4.0 | 8.9 | ✓ |
| 6 | RMG Research | R+3.0 | 9.9 | ✓ |
| 7 | Montana State University Billings | EVEN | 12.9 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
8 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Change Research2020-10-319
Montana State University Billings2020-10-2113
The New York Times/Siena College2020-10-199
Strategies 3602020-10-176
RMG Research2020-10-1710
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2020 Montana Governor race?
Greg Gianforte (R) won, by about 12.9 points (R+12.9).
When was the 2020 Montana Governor election held?
It was held in November 2020.