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Toss-up · 2020 Governor
Montana Governor
In the 2020 Montana Governor race, Greg Gianforte (R) won by about 13 points.
Actual result
R+12.9
Final polls said
R+3.6
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emerson College | R+12.3 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Strategies 360 | R+7.0 | 5.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Montana State University Bozeman Human Ecology Learning and Problem Solving Lab | R+5.0 | 7.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Change Research | R+4.0 | 8.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | The New York Times/Siena College | R+4.0 | 8.9 | ✓ |
| 6 | RMG Research | R+3.0 | 9.9 | ✓ |
| 7 | Montana State University Billings | EVEN | 12.9 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
8 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Change Research2020-10-319
Montana State University Billings2020-10-2113
The New York Times/Siena College2020-10-199
Strategies 3602020-10-176
RMG Research2020-10-1710
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2020 Montana Governor race?
Greg Gianforte (R) won, by about 12.9 points (R+12.9).
When was the 2020 Montana Governor election held?
It was held in November 2020.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.