Actual result
R+33.9
Final polls said
R+18.2
1 late poll · ✓
Model predicted
R+17.1
✓
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark Blankenship Enterprises | R+27.0 | 6.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Repass | R+19.0 | 14.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | American Pulse Research & Polling | R+18.2 | 15.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | VotePredictor | R+17.1 | 16.8 | ✓ |
| 5 | Strategies Unlimited | R+6.0 | 27.9 | ✓ |
Polls (5)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Pulse Research & Polling | 2020-10-19 | 544 | R+18.2 | 16 |
| Repass | 2020-10-03 | 450 | R+19.0 | 15 |
| American Pulse Research & Polling | 2020-09-29 | 525 | R+11.0 | 23 |
| Strategies Unlimited | 2020-09-28 | 600 | R+6.0 | 28 |
| Mark Blankenship Enterprises | 2020-09-12 | 504 | R+27.0 | 7 |