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Toss-up · 2020 House
Florida House
In the 2020 Florida House race, María Elvira Salazar (R) won by about 3 points.
Actual result
R+2.7
Final polls said
D+2.1
2 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1892 Polling | R+2.7 | 0.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Bendixen & Amandi International | D+7.0 | 9.7 | ✗ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 71% | 0.506 | ✗ |
| 2 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Dem 75% | 0.569 | ✗ |
| 3 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 81% | 0.656 | ✗ |
| 4 | Cook Political | Dem 90% | 0.810 | ✗ |
| 5 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Dem 90% | 0.810 | ✗ |
| 6 | JHK Forecasts | Dem 92% | 0.846 | ✗ |
| 7 | The Economist | Dem 93% | 0.866 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Bendixen & Amandi International2020-10-1110
1892 Polling2020-09-040
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2020 Florida House race?
María Elvira Salazar (R) won, by about 2.7 points (R+2.7).
When was the 2020 Florida House election held?
It was held in November 2020.