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Toss-up · 2020 House
Maine House
In the 2020 Maine House race, Chellie M. Pingree (D) won by about 24 points.
Actual result
D+24.3
Final polls said
D+27.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colby College | D+27.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | Pan Atlantic Research | D+19.7 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | Digital Research | D+34.0 | 9.7 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cook Political | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Dem 98% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | The Economist | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | JHK Forecasts | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 6 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 7 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Colby College2020-10-233
Pan Atlantic Research2020-10-045
Digital Research2020-09-2910
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2020 Maine House race?
Chellie M. Pingree (D) won, by about 24.3 points (D+24.3).
When was the 2020 Maine House election held?
It was held in November 2020.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.