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Toss-up · 2020 House
New Hampshire House
In the 2020 New Hampshire House race, Ann McLane Kuster (D) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
D+10.2
Final polls said
D+12.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | D+10.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Saint Anselm College Survey Center | D+15.0 | 4.8 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cook Political | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | The Economist | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 98% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | JHK Forecasts | Dem 97% | 0.001 | ✓ |
| 5 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Dem 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 6 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 88% | 0.015 | ✓ |
| 7 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Dem 86% | 0.021 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2020-10-260
Saint Anselm College Survey Center2020-10-255
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2020-10-116
Saint Anselm College Survey Center2020-10-034
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2020-09-264
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2020 New Hampshire House race?
Ann McLane Kuster (D) won, by about 10.2 points (D+10.2).
When was the 2020 New Hampshire House election held?
It was held in November 2020.