← all past elections
Toss-up · 2020 House
Texas House
In the 2020 Texas House race, Tony Gonzales (R) won by about 4 points.
Actual result
R+4.0
Final polls said
D+1.0
1 late poll · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Opinion Strategies | D+1.0 | 5.0 | ✗ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Dem 68% | 0.459 | ✗ |
| 2 | JHK Forecasts | Dem 73% | 0.533 | ✗ |
| 3 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 74% | 0.548 | ✗ |
| 4 | Cook Political | Dem 75% | 0.562 | ✗ |
| 5 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Dem 75% | 0.562 | ✗ |
| 6 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 79% | 0.616 | ✗ |
| 7 | The Economist | Dem 96% | 0.922 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Opinion Strategies2020-10-045
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2020 Texas House race?
Tony Gonzales (R) won, by about 4.0 points (R+4.0).
When was the 2020 Texas House election held?
It was held in November 2020.