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Toss-up · 2020 President
Alabama President
In the 2020 Alabama President race, Donald Trump (R) won by about 25 points.
Actual result
R+25.5
Final polls said
R+20.2
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | R+26.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Data for Progress | R+20.0 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Auburn University at Montgomery Department of Political Science and Public Administration | R+19.2 | 6.3 | ✓ |
| 4 | Swayable | R+17.2 | 8.3 | ✓ |
| 5 | Moore Information Group | R+17.0 | 8.5 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CNalysis | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | Cook Political | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | The Economist | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | Elections Daily | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 6 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 98% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 7 | Inside Elections | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 8 | JHK Forecasts | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 9 | Princeton Election Consortium | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 10 | Race to the WH | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 11 | RealClearPolitics | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 12 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 13 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
8 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Swayable2020-10-298
Data for Progress2020-10-295
SurveyMonkey2020-10-261
Auburn University at Montgomery Department of Political Science and Public Administration2020-10-256
Swayable2020-10-257
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2020 Alabama President race?
Donald Trump (R) won, by about 25.5 points (R+25.5).
When was the 2020 Alabama President election held?
It was held in November 2020.