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Toss-up · 2020 President
M1 President
In the 2020 M1 President race, Joe Biden (D) won by about 23 points.
Actual result
D+23.1
Final polls said
D+20.3
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colby College | D+22.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Suffolk University | D+21.7 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | Change Research | D+21.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Emerson College | D+19.0 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | SurveyUSA | D+19.0 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | Pan Atlantic Research | D+17.5 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 7 | Digital Research | D+32.0 | 8.9 | ✓ |
| 8 | Quinnipiac University | D+32.0 | 8.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
9 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Change Research2020-10-312
Emerson College2020-10-304
SurveyUSA2020-10-254
Colby College2020-10-231
Pan Atlantic Research2020-10-046
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2020 M1 President race?
Joe Biden (D) won, by about 23.1 points (D+23.1).
When was the 2020 M1 President election held?
It was held in November 2020.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.