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Toss-up · 2020 President
M2 President
In the 2020 M2 President race, Donald Trump (R) won by about 7 points.
Actual result
R+7.4
Final polls said
D+2.8
4 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Digital Research | R+8.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Change Research | D+1.0 | 8.4 | ✗ |
| 3 | Suffolk University | D+1.3 | 8.7 | ✗ |
| 4 | The New York Times/Siena College | D+2.0 | 9.4 | ✗ |
| 5 | Emerson College | D+3.0 | 10.4 | ✗ |
| 6 | SurveyUSA | D+3.0 | 10.4 | ✗ |
| 7 | Pan Atlantic Research | D+3.5 | 10.9 | ✗ |
| 8 | Colby College | D+4.0 | 11.4 | ✗ |
| 9 | Quinnipiac University | D+9.0 | 16.4 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
10 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Change Research2020-10-318
Emerson College2020-10-3010
SurveyUSA2020-10-2510
Colby College2020-10-2311
Pan Atlantic Research2020-10-0411
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2020 M2 President race?
Donald Trump (R) won, by about 7.4 points (R+7.4).
When was the 2020 M2 President election held?
It was held in November 2020.