← all past elections
Toss-up · 2020 President
Maryland President
In the 2020 Maryland President race, Joe Biden (D) won by about 33 points.
Actual result
D+33.2
Final polls said
D+32.0
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | OpinionWorks | D+32.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyMonkey | D+35.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Goucher College Sarah T. Hughes Center for Politics | D+31.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 4 | Swayable | D+35.9 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 5 | Change Research | D+29.0 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 6 | Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc. | D+25.1 | 8.1 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CNalysis | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | Cook Political | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | The Economist | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | Elections Daily | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 6 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 7 | Inside Elections | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 8 | JHK Forecasts | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 9 | Princeton Election Consortium | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 10 | Race to the WH | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 11 | RealClearPolitics | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 12 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 13 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Swayable2020-10-273
SurveyMonkey2020-10-262
Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc.2020-10-218
SurveyMonkey2020-10-061
Goucher College Sarah T. Hughes Center for Politics2020-10-022
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2020 Maryland President race?
Joe Biden (D) won, by about 33.2 points (D+33.2).
When was the 2020 Maryland President election held?
It was held in November 2020.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.