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Toss-up · 2020 President
Missouri President
In the 2020 Missouri President race, Donald Trump (R) won by about 15 points.
Actual result
R+15.4
Final polls said
R+8.9
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swayable | R+11.2 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyMonkey | R+10.0 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | Morning Consult | R+9.4 | 6.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | YouGov | R+8.6 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 5 | Remington Research Group | R+5.0 | 10.4 | ✓ |
| 6 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | R+2.0 | 13.4 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Economist | Rep 98% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | JHK Forecasts | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | Princeton Election Consortium | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | Race to the WH | Rep 98% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 6 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 94% | 0.004 | ✓ |
| 7 | CNalysis | Rep 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 8 | Cook Political | Rep 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 9 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 10 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 85% | 0.023 | ✓ |
| 11 | Elections Daily | Rep 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 12 | Inside Elections | Rep 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 13 | RealClearPolitics | Rep 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
10 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Remington Research Group2020-10-2810
Swayable2020-10-274
Morning Consult2020-10-266
SurveyMonkey2020-10-265
Remington Research Group2020-10-149
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2020 Missouri President race?
Donald Trump (R) won, by about 15.4 points (R+15.4).
When was the 2020 Missouri President election held?
It was held in November 2020.