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Toss-up · 2020 President
N2 President
In the 2020 N2 President race, Joe Biden (D) won by about 7 points.
Actual result
D+6.5
Final polls said
D+3.8
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The New York Times/Siena College | D+7.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Global Strategy Group | D+6.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | University of Nevada, Las Vegas Lee Business School | D+5.9 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | Change Research | D+3.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 5 | Emerson College | D+2.6 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 6 | FM3 Research | D+11.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
University of Nevada, Las Vegas Lee Business School2020-11-011
Change Research2020-10-314
Emerson College2020-10-294
FM3 Research2020-10-035
The New York Times/Siena College2020-09-261
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2020 N2 President race?
Joe Biden (D) won, by about 6.5 points (D+6.5).
When was the 2020 N2 President election held?
It was held in November 2020.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.