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Toss-up · 2020 President
US President
In the 2020 US President race, Joe Biden (D) won by about 4 points.
Actual result
D+4.4
Final polls said
D+8.1
88 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emerson College | D+4.2 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | AtlasIntel | D+4.7 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+4.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | TIPP Insights | D+4.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 5 | The Winston Group | D+5.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 6 | Innovative Research Group | D+5.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 7 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | D+5.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 8 | John Zogby Strategies | D+5.4 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 9 | Swayable | D+5.7 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 10 | Lake Research Partners | D+3.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 11 | SurveyMonkey | D+6.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 12 | Gravis Marketing | D+6.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 13 | Echelon Insights | D+6.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 14 | Suffolk University | D+6.5 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 15 | Zogby Analytics | D+2.1 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 16 | Spry Strategies | D+1.9 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 17 | Ipsos | D+7.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 18 | RMG Research | D+7.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 19 | Tufts University Public Opinion Lab | D+7.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 20 | Rasmussen Reports | D+1.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 21 | Research Co. | D+8.0 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 22 | Leger | D+8.0 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 23 | Morning Consult | D+8.0 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 24 | SurveyUSA | D+8.0 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 25 | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | D+8.0 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 26 | Angus Reid Global | D+8.0 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 27 | AYTM | D+9.0 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 28 | The New York Times/Siena College | D+9.0 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 29 | YouGov | D+10.0 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 30 | Change Research | D+10.0 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 31 | Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies | D+10.0 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 32 | Data for Progress | D+10.0 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 33 | Global Strategy Group/GBAO (Navigator Research) | D+10.0 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 34 | University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion | D+10.0 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 35 | Pew Research Center | D+10.0 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 36 | University of Southern California Dornsife Center for Economic and Social Research | D+10.9 | 6.5 | ✓ |
| 37 | Brandwatch Qriously | D+11.0 | 6.6 | ✓ |
| 38 | Quinnipiac University | D+11.0 | 6.6 | ✓ |
| 39 | Long Island University Steven S. Hornstein Center for Policy, Polling, and Analysis | D+11.0 | 6.6 | ✓ |
| 40 | Marist College | D+11.0 | 6.6 | ✓ |
| 41 | KFF | D+11.0 | 6.6 | ✓ |
| 42 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | D+12.0 | 7.6 | ✓ |
| 43 | SSRS | D+12.0 | 7.6 | ✓ |
| 44 | Cometrends | D+12.0 | 7.6 | ✓ |
| 45 | Whitman Insight Strategies | D+12.0 | 7.6 | ✓ |
| 46 | ABC News/The Washington Post | D+12.0 | 7.6 | ✓ |
| 47 | GBAO | D+13.0 | 8.6 | ✓ |
| 48 | Public First | D+13.0 | 8.6 | ✓ |
| 49 | Edison Research | D+13.3 | 8.9 | ✓ |
| 50 | Opinium | D+14.0 | 9.6 | ✓ |
| 51 | J.L. Partners | D+14.0 | 9.6 | ✓ |
| 52 | Global Marketing Research Services | D+14.0 | 9.6 | ✓ |
| 53 | Public Opinion Strategies | D+14.0 | 9.6 | ✓ |
| 54 | AP-NORC | D+15.0 | 10.6 | ✓ |
| 55 | Public Religion Research Institute | D+18.0 | 13.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
200 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Lake Research Partners2020-11-021
Ipsos2020-11-013
Harris Insights & Analytics2020-11-010
YouGov2020-11-016
Research Co.2020-11-014
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2020 US President race?
Joe Biden (D) won, by about 4.4 points (D+4.4).
When was the 2020 US President election held?
It was held in November 2020.