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Toss-up · 2021 House
New Mexico House
In the 2021 New Mexico House race, Melanie Ann Stansbury (D) won by about 25 points.
Actual result
D+24.7
Final polls said
D+16.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RRH Elections | D+16.0 | 8.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
RRH Elections2021-05-209
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2021 New Mexico House race?
Melanie Ann Stansbury (D) won, by about 24.7 points (D+24.7).
When was the 2021 New Mexico House election held?
It was held in November 2021.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.