Actual result
D+6.6
Final polls said
R+12.5
2 late polls · ✗
Model predicted
R+15.7
✗
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | American Viewpoint | R+10.0 | 16.6 | ✗ |
| 2 | VotePredictor | R+15.7 | 22.3 | ✗ |
Polls (2)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Viewpoint | 2021-07-20 | 400 | R+10.0 | 17 |
| American Viewpoint | 2021-06-02 | 400 | R+15.0 | 22 |