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Toss-up · 2021 House
Texas House
In the 2021 Texas House race, Jake Ellzey (R) won with 53.3% of the vote. The Democratic-Republican margin was D+6.6.
Actual result
D+6.6
Final polls said
R+12.5
2 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | American Viewpoint | R+10.0 | 16.6 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
American Viewpoint2021-07-2017
American Viewpoint2021-06-0222
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2021 Texas House race?
Jake Ellzey (R) won, with 53.3% of the vote. The two-party Democratic-Republican margin was D+6.6, which is what VotePredictor's model forecasts.
When was the 2021 Texas House election held?
It was held in November 2021.